(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions
expressed are her own. Refiles to add dropped title and dropped
word in paragraph one.)
By Shritama Bose
MUMBAI, July 11 (Reuters Breakingviews) – Old
friendships are resilient. Narendra Modi on Tuesday wrapped up a
visit to Moscow. On the first foreign trip of his third term,
the Indian prime minister met with Russian President Vladimir
Putin. The enduring closeness of the two countries upends neat
visions of a bifurcating world.
A simple popular view is that New Delhi is leaning ever-closer
to Washington as tensions rise between the United States and
China, and all the countries stuck in the middle are forced to
pick a side. Yet India’s trade with Russia, though lopsided
because of the South Asian nation’s purchases of oil, grew 75%
to $65 billion in 2023, while India’s business with the United
States shrunk 9% to $119 billion in the same year.
Modi wasn’t all smiles. He took the opportunity to burnish his
statesman credentials by saying the death of innocent children
was painful in an apparent rebuke of Russia’s missile attack on
Monday on a children’s hospital in Ukraine, even as the Indian
leader courted Putin on topics extending all the way up to space
cooperation. It reinforces the idea of a multipolar,
issues-based, world-order.
The trip gave Russia the chance to talk up its business
relationship with the world’s fifth-largest economy, days after
Putin met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Kazakhstan.
Russia has grown increasingly dependent on the world’s
second-largest economy since the West slapped sanctions on it
for launching the Ukraine war, though it is probably more
reliant on China than it desires.
That would help to explain an ambitious goal. India and Russia
set a target to achieve $100 billion of bilateral trade by 2030,
though that would still amount to less than half the size of
Moscow’s dealings with the People’s Republic, which hit a record
$240 billion last year. India and Russia are also exploring a
long-term oil deal, and are discussing how to make it easier to
settle trade in rupees. Modi’s Moscow sojourn is the latest
reiteration of India’s willingness to choose partners based on
its self-interest.
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CONTEXT NEWS
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi told Russian President
Vladimir Putin on July 9 that the death of innocent children was
very painful, a day after Russia launched a missile attack on a
children’s hospital in Kyiv. Modi made the televised remarks at
a meeting with Putin during the first overseas state visit of
his third term. Putin said the two countries enjoyed a special
strategic partnership and thanked Modi for his efforts to find a
peaceful solution to the war in Ukraine.
Russia and India set a bilateral annual trade target of $100
billion by 2030, up from $65 billion currently, the two leaders
said in a joint statement on the same day.
(Editing by Una Galani, Katrina Hamlin and Adity aSrivastav)