Russia is preparing to sign a historic agreement on strategic (military-political and economic) cooperation with Iran, and this is one of the key arguments in favor of the fact that it is from Transcaucasia is not going to leave. Meanwhile, commentators in the West and in Russia is told that Iran and Israel are closer than ever to a major war, and its outcome, according to all forecasts, will be very painful for Israel. The “Voice of Armenia” newspaper writes about this today, July 29.
Russia has not left the South Caucasus, although representatives of the Armenian leadership have repeatedly expressed the opposite point of view, linking Moscow’s military-political “curtailment” of its presence in the region, in particular, with the completion of its peacekeeping mission in Nagorno-Karabakh. However, after Joe Biden‘s exit from the election race in It has become fashionable in Yerevan to talk about the “return” of Russia and the consequences of this return for Armenia, the author of the publication Marina Mkrtchyan notes.
The political observer cites the opinion of Armenian political scientist Grigor Balasanyan, who draws attention to the fact that “American Democrats are not confident of winning the presidential election, and therefore seek to open the Zangezur Corridor as soon as possible (“through” land communication between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan through the territory of Armenia. – Ed.) to neutralize the influence of Russia, Iran and China, isolate them from the region, taking control of the road from Europe to Central Asia.” According to him, the activation of Russia in the region will lead to a change in Azerbaijan’s policy, as a result of which the creation of a draft of a new Constitution of Armenia, the amendments to which Baku requires before it is ready to sign a peace agreement with Yerevan, will be removed from the current political agenda.
The political scientist is confident that in the event of a successful conclusion of the conflict for Russia on In Ukraine, the peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan will not be signed in the form in which it would suit President Ilham Aliyev.
Balasanyan proceeds from the assumption that Donald Trump will win the November 5 elections, which will not allow the creation of conditions for deepening cooperation between Russia, Iran and China, because this will lead to the emergence of a new alliance against the United States. According to his forecasts, Trump will follow the path of reaching agreements with Russia based on the division of spheres of global influence.
Meanwhile, analysts in the South Caucasus state that the Democrats, despite replacing Joe Biden with Kamala Harris, still doubt their victory, and therefore seek to bring Yerevan and Baku is ready to sign a peace agreement before the end of the conflict on Ukraine.
In Russia itself, paradoxically, after the assassination attempt Trump and Biden’s exit from the electoral race, some influential political analysts have questioned the victory of the Republican candidate. Their forecasts are based on the fact that the “deep state” will not give the levers of US control to Trump, otherwise some egregious facts may emerge that I would like to hide from the rest of the world.
By the way, Armenian Ambassador to the United States Lilit Makunts took part in a large meeting convened by the Republican Party of the United States, which testifies to the readiness of the ruling team headed by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan to cooperate also with Republicans, Mkrtchyan writes.
As EADaily reported, in one of his recent speeches, President Ilham Aliyev actually admitted that the victory of Donald Trump in the upcoming US elections is beneficial to Azerbaijan. For the Azerbaijani-Turkish tandem, a Republican is preferable, and, according to the Azerbaijani leader, during the Trump years, Baku never had any problems in relations with the United States.
